Premier League

Liverpool vs Arsenal

Kick-off 17:30 · 2026-11-01

Big match Free sample Medium confidence

Games this big draw sharp, heavily traded markets, so a real betting edge is rare here. We usually find better value in quieter fixtures. Still, here is how we see it landing.

Predicted score

1-1

13%

0-1

1-2

Combined, there's a 31% chance one of these three scorelines is the exact final result.

Our call

UNDER 1.5 HT 1.50 71% model chance +6% edge

Match result (1X2)

Liverpool 31% Draw 27% Arsenal 42%

Recent form

Team	Last 6	W	D	L	Goals
Liverpool	DWDWLW	3	2	1	7:6
Arsenal	WWWLWW	5	0	1	8:5

Oldest on the left, most recent on the right. League matches only.

Head to head

Last 6 meetings: Liverpool 1, Arsenal 1, 4 drawn, averaging 2.5 goals a game.

Scores, most recent first: 0-0, 1-0, 2-2, 2-2, 1-3, 1-1.

Analyst write-up

Expect a cagey game shaped by Arsenal's control and defensive solidity against a Liverpool side misfiring at home. The visitors' form and back line give them the edge, but Anfield and Liverpool's attacking talent keep a draw very live, hence a 1-1 or narrow 0-1 feel most natural. Goals should stay modest, around 2.5 to 2.7 total. Lineups are not yet confirmed and Liverpool's probable XI is rotated, so the read may shift on team news.

Main risk: Liverpool's quality and home crowd can lift them well above their recent venue numbers on any given night, and Arsenal's away scoring is modest, so a tight home win or a lower-scoring draw is a real alternative to the Arsenal lean.

Unknowns: Injuries and suspensions are unavailable, so squad availability is unknown for both sides; the listed XIs are only probable, and Liverpool's shown lineup is a heavily rotated one from a Villarreal match that may not reflect their league selection. Confirmed XIs publish around an hour before kickoff and could shift this read.

Predictions are model estimates, not certainties. 18+. Bet responsibly. Odds and prices move, so always confirm before betting.