New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls

Our call

Match result (1X2)

Recent form

Team	Last 6	W	D	L	Goals
New England Revolution	WWLLWW	4	0	2	10:11
New York Red Bulls	WWLWLL	3	0	3	7:8

Oldest on the left, most recent on the right. League matches only.

Head to head

Last 6 meetings: New England Revolution 3, New York Red Bulls 3, 0 drawn, averaging 3.33 goals a game.

Scores, most recent first: 0-1, 3-5, 2-1, 1-0, 2-4, 1-0.

Analyst write-up

This reads as a controlled New England home game against a visiting side that rarely scores on the road. The backed Under 3.5 looks well supported: New England defend their home turf (1.1 conceded, five home clean sheets) and New York offer little away threat (-15 GD, 0.66 goals at venue). Campana's absence caps the home attack, pulling the likely shape toward a narrow home win or low-scoring draw. Main risk is the 3.3-goal H2H history.

Most likely final scores: 1-1 13%, 1-0 10%, 2-1 9% (a 32% chance one of these lands). This is the scoreline read behind the call.

Main risk: H2H has averaged 3.3 goals across 6 meetings, and if New York press for a result or New England chase a bigger margin the game could clear 3.5; a Campana-less attack could also stall the home side into a scrappy draw rather than a win.

Unknowns: Lineups shown are each side's most recent XI, not confirmed teams (those publish ~1h before kickoff), so selection and formation may shift; squad availability beyond the four listed injuries is unconfirmed.