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Major League Soccer

San Diego vs Seattle Sounders

Kick-off 03:30 · 2026-10-25
Free sample Medium confidence

Our call

UNDER 3.5 FT 1.80 71% model chance +27% edge

Match result (1X2)

San Diego 35% Draw 27% Seattle Sounders 37%

Recent form

TeamLast 6WDLGoals
San Diego LDDLDD 042 11:19
Seattle Sounders WWWWLD 411 11:4

Oldest on the left, most recent on the right. League matches only.

Head to head

Last 3 meetings: San Diego 1, Seattle Sounders 1, 1 drawn, averaging 2.0 goals a game.

Scores, most recent first: 1-1, 0-1, 3-0.

Analyst write-up

This profiles as a tight, lower-scoring game, which supports Under 3.5. Seattle are the sturdier side, defending well on the road and grinding out results, while San Diego are porous at home but still carry a venue scoring threat. Expect a cagey contest near 1-1 with Seattle edging the quality. Lineups are unconfirmed until about an hour before kickoff, and a San Diego goal rush is the clearest route to the goals climbing over the line.

Most likely final scores: 1-1 13%, 0-1 8%, 1-0 8% (a 29% chance one of these lands). This is the scoreline read behind the call.

Main risk: San Diego attack decently at home and Seattle's away scoring is thin, so the game could tilt either way; if San Diego's front line (Bakambu, Dreyer, Pirani) clicks against a changed Seattle XI, or Seattle chase a late winner, the match can open up and push over 3.5, against both my read and the backed Under.

Unknowns: Injuries and suspensions are unavailable, so squad availability is unknown for both sides; confirmed lineups are not yet published (the XIs shown are each team's last actual starting eleven and may change ~1h before kickoff). This caps confidence at Medium.

Predictions are model estimates, not certainties. 18+. Bet responsibly. Odds and prices move, so always confirm before betting.