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← All match write-ups
Ettan - Södra

Rosengård vs Hässleholms IF

Kick-off 13:00 · 2026-09-26
Free sample Medium confidence

Our call

UNDER 3.5 FT 1.83 68% model chance +25% edge

Match result (1X2)

Rosengård 33% Draw 27% Hässleholms IF 41%

Analyst write-up

This should be a controlled, low-to-mid scoring game favouring the case for Under 3.5. Hässleholms are the stronger, better-organised side and their defence (0.6 conceded recently, 7 clean sheets) should smother a Rosengård attack that is decent at home but not prolific. Expect roughly 2.9 total goals, tilted slightly toward the visitors. Main risk is Rosengård's leaky home rearguard opening things up. Lineups unconfirmed, so team news could shift the read.

Most likely final scores: 1-1 13%, 1-2 9%, 0-1 8% (a 29% chance one of these lands). This is the scoreline read behind the call.

Main risk: Rosengård's home attack (2.1 GF) plus their leaky home defence (1.8 conceded) could produce an open, high-scoring game that busts the Under; the away side's low recent conceded rate may also regress if key defenders are missing.

Unknowns: Confirmed lineups are not yet published (they arrive ~1h before kickoff) and injuries/suspensions are unavailable, so squad availability for both sides is unknown; no recent head-to-head sample either. These cap confidence at Medium.

Predictions are model estimates, not certainties. 18+. Bet responsibly. Odds and prices move, so always confirm before betting.