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← All match write-ups
Championship

Inverness CT vs Morton

Kick-off 20:45 · 2026-09-25
Free sample Medium confidence

Our call

UNDER 1.5 HT 1.44 76% model chance +9% edge

Match result (1X2)

Inverness CT 50% Draw 28% Morton 22%

Recent form

TeamLast 6WDLGoals
Inverness CT DDDLLW 132 5:7
Morton LLLDLL 015 4:12

Oldest on the left, most recent on the right. League matches only.

Head to head

Last 6 meetings: Inverness CT 3, Morton 1, 2 drawn, averaging 2.67 goals a game.

Scores, most recent first: 3-1, 2-0, 0-0, 1-2, 2-1, 2-2.

Analyst write-up

Inverness are clear favourites at home against a bottom-of-the-table Morton, but this is a low-scoring matchup: Inverness rarely fill the net (0.75 at venue) and Morton offer little going forward. Expect a controlled home win by a goal or two with a quiet, cagey opening. The backed 1st-half Under 1.5 fits: both attacks are slow starters and combined first-half goals project below one. Lineups unconfirmed, so team news could shift it.

Most likely final scores: 1-1 13%, 1-0 12%, 2-0 10% (a 36% chance one of these lands). This is the scoreline read behind the call.

Main risk: Inverness's attack is genuinely poor, so even against a leaky Morton they may fail to convert; the game can stall into a tight 1-0 or 0-0 rather than the favourite pulling clear, and Morton have enough away resilience to nick a draw.

Unknowns: Confirmed lineups are not yet published (they land ~1h before kickoff) and injuries/suspensions are unavailable, so squad availability is unknown for both sides; this caps confidence at Medium.

Predictions are model estimates, not certainties. 18+. Bet responsibly. Odds and prices move, so always confirm before betting.