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Premiership

Celtic vs Rangers

Kick-off 13:00 · 2026-09-20
Big match Medium confidence

Result

HT0-1 FT0-1 Celtic to win lost
Games this big draw sharp, heavily traded markets, so a real betting edge is rare here. We usually find better value in quieter fixtures. Still, here is how we see it landing.

Predicted score

1-1
11%
2-1
10%
2-0
8%
Combined, there's a 29% chance one of these three scorelines is the exact final result.

How we lean

Celtic to win 54% model chance

We are not backing a bet on this match. This is the model's read of the result, and the write-up below explains the game rather than arguing for a stake.

Match result (1X2)

Celtic 54% Draw 24% Rangers 23%

Recent form

TeamLast 6WDLGoals
Celtic WWWWWW 600 14:3
Rangers DLWWWW 411 7:4

Oldest on the left, most recent on the right. League matches only.

Head to head

Last 6 meetings: Celtic 1, Rangers 2, 3 drawn, averaging 3.17 goals a game.

Scores, most recent first: 3-1, 2-2, 1-3, 0-0, 1-1, 2-3.

Analyst write-up

Celtic should control this at home, backed by a WWWWWW run, table-topping form and a strong 2.38-for, 0.56-against venue profile, pointing toward a 2-1 with Rangers carrying enough away threat to score. That fits an Over 2.5 lean: two goal-hungry sides and a high-scoring recent H2H (avg 3.2). The risk is a cagey derby; if Rangers sit deep or strike early, a 1-1 is very live. Lineups unconfirmed until near kickoff.

Main risk: Old Firm derbies are emotionally charged and often cagier or more chaotic than form suggests; a red card, an early Rangers goal, or a disciplined low block could flip this into a tight draw, which the API model rates as likely (45% draw).

Unknowns: Injuries and suspensions are unavailable, so squad availability for both sides is unknown; confirmed XIs are not yet published (they land about an hour before kickoff), so the lineups shown are only each side's last starting XI and selection may change.

Predictions are model estimates, not certainties. 18+. Bet responsibly. Odds and prices move, so always confirm before betting.