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← All match write-ups
Premiership

ST Mirren vs Dundee Utd

Kick-off 16:00 · 2026-09-19

Result

HT0-3 FT0-3 UNDER 1.5 HT lost

Our call

UNDER 1.5 HT 1.53 77% model chance +18% edge

Match result (1X2)

ST Mirren 44% Draw 29% Dundee Utd 27%

Recent form

TeamLast 6WDLGoals
ST Mirren WWDWLL 312 8:6
Dundee Utd DLLWLD 123 6:11

Oldest on the left, most recent on the right. League matches only.

Head to head

Last 6 meetings: ST Mirren 2, Dundee Utd 3, 1 drawn, averaging 2.33 goals a game.

Scores, most recent first: 1-1, 1-2, 2-0, 1-3, 2-0, 0-1.

Analyst write-up

The backed bet is 1st Half Under 1.5, and the shape supports it: St Mirren's probable 5-4-1 points to a slow, controlled start, Dundee Utd travel with a blunt away attack, and H2H plus the draw-heavy model read all lean cagey. Expected first-half goals sit near 0.9 combined, comfortably under the line. Main risk is St Mirren exploiting a leaky away defence early. Lineups unconfirmed, so team news could shift this.

Most likely final scores: 1-1 14%, 1-0 11%, 0-0 10% (a 34% chance one of these lands). This is the scoreline read behind the call.

Main risk: St Mirren at home versus a weak away defence could break the game open early and blow past a low first-half line, or an even tighter contest could produce a 0-0; the draw-heavy API signal cuts both ways.

Unknowns: Injuries and suspensions are not in the feed, so squad availability is unknown; the XIs shown are last-match probables, not confirmed lineups, which publish about an hour before kickoff.

Predictions are model estimates, not certainties. 18+. Bet responsibly. Odds and prices move, so always confirm before betting.