Serie A

AS Roma vs Inter

Kick-off 18:00 · 2026-09-19

Big match Medium confidence

Result

HT2-0 FT2-2 UNDER 1.5 HT lost

Games this big draw sharp, heavily traded markets, so a real betting edge is rare here. We usually find better value in quieter fixtures. Still, here is how we see it landing.

Predicted score

1-1

13%

0-1

1-0

Combined, there's a 30% chance one of these three scorelines is the exact final result.

Our call

UNDER 1.5 HT 1.53 75% model chance +14% edge

Match result (1X2)

AS Roma 33% Draw 28% Inter 39%

Recent form

Team	Last 6	W	D	L	Goals
AS Roma	WWWWWW	6	0	0	16:1
Inter	DDWWWW	4	2	0	17:10

Oldest on the left, most recent on the right. League matches only.

Head to head

Last 6 meetings: AS Roma 1, Inter 5, 0 drawn, averaging 2.83 goals a game.

Scores, most recent first: 2-5, 0-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-4, 0-1.

Analyst write-up

This backs a quiet opening: two unbeaten top-two sides, Roma's outstanding home defence against an Inter attack shorn of Calhanoglu, Stones and Spence. Expect cagey, structured football with feeling-out exchanges before the interval, so first-half goals should stay scarce. The full-match read is a low-total 1-1 or a narrow Inter edge. Risk is an early goal or Roma opening up at home. Lineups are unconfirmed until roughly an hour before kickoff.

Main risk: Inter's away attack (2.21 scored) is genuinely potent, and if Roma push for the win at home the game could open up past 2.5 total, breaking the low-scoring read; equally an early goal would kill the first-half Under.

Unknowns: Confirmed starting XIs are not yet published (probable lineups shown are each side's last actual XI), so selection and formation could shift; this softens confidence.

Predictions are model estimates, not certainties. 18+. Bet responsibly. Odds and prices move, so always confirm before betting.