Lyngby vs Silkeborg

Our call

Match result (1X2)

Recent form

Team	Last 6	W	D	L	Goals
Lyngby	LDLDWD	1	3	2	6:7
Silkeborg	WLLDDD	1	3	2	6:8

Oldest on the left, most recent on the right. League matches only.

Head to head

Last 6 meetings: Lyngby 3, Silkeborg 2, 1 drawn, averaging 2.83 goals a game.

Scores, most recent first: 2-0, 1-2, 1-0, 2-2, 2-0, 0-5.

Analyst write-up

Expect a controlled home game with modest goals, which is the case for Under 3.5. Silkeborg travel with a thin, patched squad, score little on the road and concede freely, so Lyngby should edge it without needing a flood of goals. My total near 2.4 sits below the market's 3.16. The main risk to the Under is a Lyngby blowout if Silkeborg's back line folds; the main risk to a home win is another Lyngby draw. Lineups not yet confirmed.

Most likely final scores: 1-1 13%, 1-0 11%, 2-0 9% (a 34% chance one of these lands). This is the scoreline read behind the call.

Main risk: These are two mid-table sides both prone to draws (Lyngby's run is draw-heavy), so a low-scoring stalemate is very live; conversely if Silkeborg's makeshift back line collapses, Lyngby could run the total up and threaten the Under.

Unknowns: Confirmed XIs are not yet published (probable lineups shown are each side's last actual XI and can change ~1h before kickoff); Silkeborg's exact fitness picture around the listed absentees is unconfirmed.