Groningen vs PEC Zwolle

Our call

Match result (1X2)

Recent form

Team	Last 6	W	D	L	Goals
Groningen	WWWWLL	4	0	2	13:12
PEC Zwolle	LLLLWL	1	0	5	6:13

Oldest on the left, most recent on the right. League matches only.

Head to head

Last 6 meetings: Groningen 0, PEC Zwolle 1, 5 drawn, averaging 2.0 goals a game.

Scores, most recent first: 1-1, 2-2, 0-2, 0-0, 1-1, 1-1.

Analyst write-up

Groningen should shade a favourable but scrappy home game against a struggling, leaky Zwolle. Both defences concede, yet the H2H and PEC's low away output point to a cautious opening rather than an early flurry, which supports the first-half Under 1.5. Expect a tight first 45 with the goals, if they come, arriving later. Lineups are not yet confirmed (published about an hour before kickoff), so the read may shift on team news.

Most likely final scores: 1-1 12%, 2-1 10%, 1-0 8% (a 30% chance one of these lands). This is the scoreline read behind the call.

Main risk: Groningen's soft defence and PEC's respectable away scoring (1.7 season) could open the game into a higher-scoring draw or an upset, which the third-party model actively favours (draw/away 45/45); the first half could also produce an early goal against a leaky home back line.

Unknowns: Injuries and suspensions are unavailable, so squad availability is unknown; the XIs shown are last-match probable lineups, not confirmed. Confidence is capped accordingly.