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National League

Scunthorpe vs Boreham Wood

Kick-off 20:45 · 2026-09-16
Free sample Medium confidence

Our call

UNDER 1.5 HT 1.73 66% model chance +15% edge

Match result (1X2)

Scunthorpe 28% Draw 25% Boreham Wood 47%

Recent form

TeamLast 6WDLGoals
Scunthorpe LDLLWL 114 8:11
Boreham Wood WDWWWW 510 15:7

Oldest on the left, most recent on the right. League matches only.

Head to head

Last 4 meetings: Scunthorpe 1, Boreham Wood 2, 1 drawn, averaging 2.5 goals a game.

Scores, most recent first: 3-1, 1-1, 0-2, 0-2.

Analyst write-up

Boreham Wood arrive as runaway leaders and should control this, but Scunthorpe defend tidily at home and the recent H2H sat around 2.5 goals, so expect a controlled rather than explosive game. That shape supports Under 1.5 in the first half: the visitors tend to build gradually and a wary Scunthorpe are unlikely to trade early. Low first-half goal expectancy near 1.2 combined leaves the opener more likely after the break. Lineups unconfirmed.

Most likely final scores: 1-1 12%, 1-2 9%, 0-1 8% (a 29% chance one of these lands). This is the scoreline read behind the call.

Main risk: Scunthorpe defend well at home and Boreham Wood could be held to a tight low-scoring game, or an early goal could open it up beyond the modelled total; the API sees this as near even (45 draw / 45 away), so the away edge may be overstated.

Unknowns: Injuries and suspensions are unavailable, so squad availability for both sides is unknown; lineups shown are last-match XIs, not confirmed teams, so the read may shift on team news published about an hour before kickoff.

Predictions are model estimates, not certainties. 18+. Bet responsibly. Odds and prices move, so always confirm before betting.