Premier League
Manchester United
vs
Manchester City
Kick-off 17:30 · 2026-09-13
Big match
Medium confidence
Games this big draw sharp, heavily traded markets, so a real betting edge is rare here. We usually find better value in quieter fixtures. Still, here is how we see it landing.
Predicted score
1-1
12%
1-2
9%
0-1
8%
Combined, there's a 29% chance one of these three scorelines is the exact final result.
Match result (1X2)
Manchester United 29%
Draw 26%
Manchester City 46%
Recent form
| Team | Last 6 | W | D | L | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | WDWWLW | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:8 |
| Manchester City | WWDLWW | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:5 |
Oldest on the left, most recent on the right. League matches only.
Head to head
Last 6 meetings: Manchester United 2, Manchester City 3, 1 drawn, averaging 2.5 goals a game.
Scores, most recent first: 2-0, 0-3, 0-0, 2-1, 1-3, 0-3.
The full analyst write-up breaks down the expected shape of the game, the decisive factors and where we see the value. Subscribers get every match, every day, with the reasoning behind each call and our running results.
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Predictions are model estimates, not certainties. 18+. Bet responsibly. Odds and prices move, so always confirm before betting.