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← All match write-ups
Championship

Morton vs Livingston

Kick-off 20:30 · 2026-09-11
Free sample Medium confidence

Our call

UNDER 1.5 HT 1.44 75% model chance +9% edge

Match result (1X2)

Morton 22% Draw 27% Livingston 50%

Recent form

TeamLast 6WDLGoals
Morton LDLLLD 024 3:11
Livingston WLWLWL 303 7:4

Oldest on the left, most recent on the right. League matches only.

Head to head

Last 4 meetings: Morton 0, Livingston 2, 2 drawn, averaging 2.5 goals a game.

Scores, most recent first: 1-2, 2-3, 0-0, 1-1.

Analyst write-up

Livingston are the clear side against a bottom-placed Morton, but the goals case is thin: Livingston's away scoring is modest and both attacks are weak, so I expect a controlled, low-total game rather than a rout. That directly supports the 1st-half Under 1.5, a likely cagey opening with Livingston edging ahead later. Lineups are not yet confirmed, and Morton's leaky home defence is the swing factor.

Most likely final scores: 1-1 13%, 0-1 12%, 0-2 10% (a 36% chance one of these lands). This is the scoreline read behind the call.

Main risk: The main risk is Livingston's away scoring being genuinely poor (season away goals near zero), which could suppress the total further toward a 0-0 or 1-0, or conversely Morton conceding early and the game opening up beyond my low anchor.

Unknowns: Injuries and suspensions are unavailable, so squad availability is unknown for both sides; confirmed XIs are not published yet (they land ~1h before kickoff) and only Livingston's last XI is shown, with no recent Morton lineup, so the read may shift on team news.

Predictions are model estimates, not certainties. 18+. Bet responsibly. Odds and prices move, so always confirm before betting.