Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Our call

Match result (1X2)

Recent form

Team	Last 6	W	D	L	Goals
Fagiano Okayama	LWWDLW	3	1	2	6:5
Sanfrecce Hiroshima	WWWDDW	4	2	0	15:3

Oldest on the left, most recent on the right. League matches only.

Head to head

Last 2 meetings: Fagiano Okayama 1, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1, 0 drawn, averaging 1.0 goals a game.

Scores, most recent first: 0-1, 1-0.

Analyst write-up

The case for Under 1.5 first-half goals is strong: Fagiano defend deep at home (0.21 conceded at venue, two home clean sheets) and score rarely, while Hiroshima, though the better side, tend to build control rather than blitz early; the two recent meetings averaged one goal total. Expect a cagey opening half and a tight game Hiroshima nudge late. Lineups are unconfirmed, so team news could move it.

Most likely final scores: 1-1 13%, 0-1 12%, 0-2 9% (a 35% chance one of these lands). This is the scoreline read behind the call.

Main risk: Fagiano's home block is real, so this could finish 0-0 or 1-0 to the hosts rather than the Hiroshima edge implied; alternatively Hiroshima's attack breaks the low-block early and the game opens up past the anchor, invalidating the Under lean.

Unknowns: Injuries and suspensions are unavailable, so squad availability is unknown for both sides; lineups shown are last actual XIs, not confirmed teams, and typically publish about an hour before kickoff, so team news could shift this read.