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Jupiler Pro League

Kortrijk vs Charleroi

Kick-off 18:15 · 2026-08-29

Result

HT1-1 FT1-3 UNDER 1.5 HT lost

Our call

UNDER 1.5 HT 1.44 75% model chance +8% edge

Match result (1X2)

Kortrijk 27% Draw 28% Charleroi 46%

Recent form

TeamLast 6WDLGoals
Kortrijk WLWDLL 213 7:12
Charleroi LDWWWW 411 9:3

Oldest on the left, most recent on the right. League matches only.

Head to head

Last 6 meetings: Kortrijk 1, Charleroi 5, 0 drawn, averaging 1.83 goals a game.

Scores, most recent first: 0-1, 0-1, 1-3, 1-2, 1-0, 0-1.

Analyst write-up

Expect a cagey, low-scoring game with Charleroi controlling. Their defence is the standout, and Kortrijk's winless, leaky form points to few clear chances at either end. But Charleroi travel less prolifically, so blowout risk is limited and a tight first half is likely. That underpins the first-half Under 1.5: slow starts, a low H2H baseline and no need for either side to force early goals. Lineups unconfirmed, so team news could shift this.

Most likely final scores: 1-1 13%, 0-1 11%, 0-2 9% (a 33% chance one of these lands). This is the scoreline read behind the call.

Main risk: Charleroi are the clear favourite and could break the game open early, pushing away goals and the first half over 1.5; conversely Kortrijk's home venue scoring (1.71) could force a more open game than the tight lines suggest.

Unknowns: Injuries and suspensions are not in the feed, so squad availability is unknown, and confirmed XIs are not yet published (probable lineups shown are each side's last actual XI). Small season samples also make the extreme season splits noisy.

Predictions are model estimates, not certainties. 18+. Bet responsibly. Odds and prices move, so always confirm before betting.