FC Cincinnati vs Seattle Sounders

Our call

Match result (1X2)

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Team	Last 6	W	D	L	Goals
FC Cincinnati	WWLWDW	4	1	1	18:11
Seattle Sounders	LLLLLL	0	0	6	4:15

Oldest on the left, most recent on the right. League matches only.

Head to head

Last 2 meetings: FC Cincinnati 1, Seattle Sounders 0, 1 drawn, averaging 1.5 goals a game.

Scores, most recent first: 1-0, 1-1.

Analyst write-up

Cincinnati should control this at home against a Seattle side that cannot score away (0.53 per game) and is missing much of its attack. Expect a comfortable but not lavish home win, with the total suppressed by Seattle's toothless travel form and a low-scoring recent H2H. That case, plus a modest home output, points Under 3.5. The risk is Cincinnati's own soft home defence letting the game open up.

Most likely final scores: 2-0 12%, 1-0 12%, 1-1 11% (a 35% chance one of these lands). This is the scoreline read behind the call.

Main risk: Cincinnati concede 1.9 per home game and 2.43 at venue recently, so even a depleted Seattle could nick a goal and push the game past 3.5; alternatively Cincinnati's high venue scoring (3.71) could run hotter than 1.9 and inflate the total.

Unknowns: Confirmed starting lineups are listed as available but the feed returned empty starters and no formations, so exact XIs are unknown; the injury impact on Seattle is inferred rather than lineup-confirmed.