First half over 1.5 goals predictions
Two or more goals before the break. Anything after it does not count.
How this market works
Half markets are not simply the full-time market divided by two. Matches open cautiously, substitutions and fatigue push goals into the second half, and a side chasing a game does most of that chasing after the interval.
We model the halves separately for that reason. A first half line is also where a model most easily drifts away from the frequencies it should be matching, so this is one to read alongside the record rather than on the model's word.
Our record on it
| Settled bets | 588 |
| Won | 384 of 588 (65%) |
| Return | +2.6% |
Every settled bet on this market, wins and losses, at the price it was called at. A win rate on its own says little: what matters is the return, and over a short run even that is mostly noise.
The full record covers every market together. How these numbers are calculated.
Where to see today's calls
Live prices and our chances for every fixture are on the board. The matches we have written up are on the predictions page.
New to any of this, start with the guide: what the odds mean, what an edge is, and how a stake gets sized.